Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 172.650939 198.739309 228.213173 264.131421 306.926223 356.534191 418.758530
2025-10-05 143.431316 178.562073 222.149513 280.836864 358.756551 460.035065 603.916680
2025-10-12 125.952458 165.557138 218.038245 293.972102 403.221256 558.198414 801.151159
2025-10-19 109.505980 149.972139 206.356995 292.639046 424.959445 626.502921 969.574159
2025-10-26 99.899201 141.835500 202.924703 301.235995 461.077765 721.262633 1200.468393
2025-11-02 91.305941 133.697299 197.862941 305.779940 490.597077 810.086106 1443.085260
2025-11-09 84.436315 127.111831 193.985347 311.089721 521.556799 906.654088 1725.342279
2025-11-16 77.499823 119.497093 187.320716 310.381171 541.270519 986.021338 1995.097273
2025-11-23 71.523273 112.706366 181.069932 309.239568 559.563343 1065.802439 2288.830712
2025-11-30 66.962604 107.739130 177.242838 311.762302 585.055430 1165.208793 2659.070698
2025-12-07 60.766740 99.353546 166.487834 299.693660 578.878085 1194.967805 2865.795157
2025-12-14 56.466810 93.864499 160.325710 295.660874 588.756888 1262.794548 3196.214206
2025-12-21 52.778014 89.519272 156.531193 297.424862 615.283285 1385.388046 3759.764673
2025-12-28 51.474025 89.430562 160.846542 316.933206 687.166906 1644.438375 4881.193902
2026-01-04 49.738508 88.315216 162.983248 332.105351 752.471702 1908.652947 6186.428945
2026-01-11 46.488047 83.935855 158.022916 330.565994 775.572051 2061.716921 7185.848706
2026-01-18 44.634219 82.094699 158.033142 340.498731 831.235448 2332.875317 8861.110191
2026-01-25 42.535585 79.541618 156.218514 345.751768 875.472399 2584.950895 10662.772383
2026-02-01 40.690783 77.321633 154.852804 351.892794 923.971631 2871.601651 12900.568564
2026-02-08 38.488080 74.144397 151.002055 351.073158 951.588010 3095.198525 15027.762879
2026-02-15 36.446002 71.125026 147.180564 349.752679 977.574981 3324.789226 17448.430026
2026-02-22 34.854092 68.936889 145.042138 352.670868 1018.341231 3633.563599 20772.901311
2026-03-01 32.344227 64.528456 137.235719 338.716190 999.188967 3680.773086 22301.625667